U.S President Donald Trump

Lead Opinion

Will Trump survive his first term?

Clyde Ramalaine

If Napoleon Bonaparte taught us anything it was, fighting more than one war at a time, is simply not wise. Donald Trump America’s 45th president now famous for launching his second term campaign hardly 30 days into the office, is facing a proverbial war understood in a barrage of essentially self-inflicted hurricanes.  This raises the question will he survive his first term, let alone talks of a second term.


Trump is known for having introduced the USA to a presidency in all forms it has never had before. Not only has Trump redefined diplomacy with a new description of Twitter diplomacy but he has set new standards for presidency simply not aligned to what the over 200-year-old democracy is known. President Trump often shares his thoughts be it a personal commentary on, domestic or international subject matters from a twitter handle. If this was but Trump’s only sin we all may have been forgiving towards him but Donald Trump is not just controversial he is called a caught out racist, a misogynist of note and a confirmed pathological liar by diverse audiences.


Trump in this season faces a deluge of challenges that threaten his sustainability to complete his first term. He is dealing with Robert Mueller III special counsel investigation which has him perhaps paranoid as more and more going public and personal as to Mueller. The former FBI director Robert Mueller led Special Counsel Investigation is primarily concerned with establishing the role of Russia in the interference in the 2016 USA presidential elections outcome in a claim of having hacked the Democratic National Convention among others. Thus far Mueller has succeeded to secure a number of role players who have proven willing to play ball, to spill the beans, albeit to save their own skins. The investigation is gaining momentum since we learnt this week of some of the questions Mueller wants Trump to answer.


We learned that Special counsel Mueller’s questions for President Trump are centred around his decisions to get rid of former national security adviser Michael Flynn and also the FBI Director James B. Comey. This is predicated on the affidavits of those who were privy to his plans. Perhaps the critical reason for raising these questions is its material linkage with a claim that the President has shown an interest to stymie if not retard the Mueller investigation.



As if Special Counsel Mueller’s investigation is not enough, excuse the pun – a storm erupted around a slew of women led by Stormy Daniels a confirmed prostitute who claims to have had a long-standing affair with Trump. She was signed into silence by an agreement signed by a David Dennison who is a pseudo name for Donald Trump with $130000.000. She in this season contests the agreement entered as she solicits opportunity to share her story. Trump’s attorneys are threatening m with a counter suit of $20million. More women are emerging as testament to Trump’s infidelities, sexual assault tendencies and the storm is brewing.


Not only is Trump embroiled in the above challenges but also the Republican Party to which he owes his presidency simply can no more escape the concomitant scrutiny of the public that seeks answers as to why they can’t rein Trump in for his many irreverent slips. The Republican Party, therefore, is beginning to pay a price with talks that the house and senate may soon be lost as Democrats begin to register significant wins in traditionally red states and constituencies. We have been saying it is simply not right to treat Trump as a phenomenon when the community that produced him fails to own up to their joint role in his arrival at the White House and his stay in such.


Another factor that adds to the dynamic of a Republican Party readying for loss of the House is the fact that a total of 31 senior members have retired. The Democrats really need 25 seats to secure control of the House of Representatives for the 2018 political season and there are now 31 open seats held by Republicans.


Trumps latest glaring personalized attack on Mueller does not augur well with many Republican leaders also. Some have openly rebuked him for sharing his opinions, challenging him to show restraint and respect and wait for his chance to formally engage the process when called upon to do so.


On the other hand, while this moment of Trump leadership presents opportunity galore for the Democratic Party to exert itself, to seize the afforded chance, it also appears in sixes and sevens because it’s not yet evidencing coherent leadership that can point to 2020 as solidified behind a significant candidate. Drew Godinich, the spokesman for the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee in a statement expressed the following views. “California Republicans clearly see the writing on the wall and realize that their party and its priorities are toxic to their re-election chances in 2018,”


The idea of former deputy President Joe Biden running as Democratic party candidate does not sit well with me either he is simply too old and has in a bizarre sense attempted to unnecessarily wrestling with Trump in the pigsty of an ongoing testosterone verbal slug of who will beat who in a fist fight match.


In the background, Trump has also become the president known for firing leadership he appointed. He recently fired offloaded his cabinet secretary of foreign affair Rex Tillerson by tweet. It is said Trump did not even have the courtesy to inform Tillerson before fired off his tweet. In his place former CIA director, Mike Pompeo was appointed; with this move, the former spy head is now the USA chief diplomat.


As part of the on-going sequel of firings, Attorney General Jeff Sessions last week announced the firing of the FBI deputy director Andrew McCabe, less than two days short of his retirement. Trump is long known for his views on McCabe. This firing of McCabe is considered in some circles as Trump testing the waters for a long-mumbled claim that he may attempt firing Robert Mueller. Despite the fact that the White House has on several occasions in mop-up response sense confirmed there are no intentions to fire Mueller, the mistrust as led by his tweets paints a different picture.


Should Trump be successfully impeached, he will by constitution be succeeded by Deputy President Mike Pence, who simply has no presence, charisma or a political persona at that level. He may therefore if he runs in 2020 find himself out of depth that is only if the Democratic Party can present an alternate that is agreed upon coherently and for the right reasons.


The million-dollar question for the billionaire-cum-president remains, will he survive his first term. Will he suffer the fate of the age-old challenge of infidelity and become its casualty when he is dragged to courts and ultimately impeached for this?



Or will he throw down the gauntlet and dare to fire Mueller and cause enough anger on both sides of the House that he will be impeached on constitutional grounds of having brought the office into disrepute?


Will the full breadth of the Mueller investigation include a piercing look at his personal and business finances and financing of deals? The claims levelled are many yet Mueller’s interim questions submitted to Trump’s attorneys do not include the aspect of his financial dealings as yet. That is not to say it will not be included.


Will Trump, therefore, suffer the fate of an awaking Republican Party leadership that comes to accept that holding on to Trump is not potentially destructive but in all practical senses already costing them the party dearly.


I still think Trump is not fit to lead the USA and he will not ever see out two terms it is just a matter of time before both parties in their own interest and that of the Nation will act against Trump.


Political commentator Clyde Ramalaine. PICTURE: Supplied

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *