NAIROBI – ANALYSTS have dismissed the likelihood of a third
presidential election this year in Kenya following a disputed outcome last
Incumbent Uhuru Kenyatta was announced the winner of the rescheduled poll
last week with 98 percent of the vote after rival Raila Odinga boycotted
demanding the dissolution of the Independent Electoral Boundaries
Odinga called for a “national resistance movement” including the formation
of a “people’s assembly” to bring civil society groups together to
Interestingly, and in contrast to expectations, there was no mention of a
legal challenge as yet, Rand Merchant Bank analysts noted.
“Instead, the opposition unveiled efforts to force a fresh election within
90 days,” analysts Neville Mandimika and Ronak Gopaldas stated.
The said establishing Odinga’s strategy was difficult given the lack of
clarity around how he intended to achieve his stated objectives.
“In our view, the approach lacks coherence and we do not expect it to
galvanise sufficient momentum to alter the current result.”
The analysts said furthermore, “election fatigue” meant that widespread
public support for a third election is unlikely to gain traction.
Kenya, one of East Africa’s most influential countries, is emerging from
an election whose runup was marked by violence.
– CAJ News